Monday, June 16, 2014

Tibet's glaciers at their warmest in 2,000 years

The Tibetan plateau, whose glaciers supply water to hundreds of millions of people in Asia, were warmer over the past 50 years than at any stage in the past two millennia, a Chinese newspaper said, citing an academic report.

Temperatures and humidity are likely to continue to rise throughout this century, causing glaciers to retreat and desertification to spread, according to the report published by the Chinese Academy of Sciences’ Institute of Tibetan Plateau Research.

“Over the past 50 years, the rate of temperature rise has been double the average global level,” it said, according to the report on the website of Science and Technology Daily, a state-run newspaper.

Glacier retreat could disrupt water supply to several of Asia’s main rivers that originate from the plateau, including China’s Yellow and Yangtze, India’s Brahmaputra, and the Mekong and Salween in Southeast Asia.

In May, Chinese scientists said Tibetan glaciers had shrunk 15 percent – around 8,000 square km (3,100 square miles) – over the past 30 years.
The new report said a combination of climate change and human activity on the plateau was likely to cause an increase in floods and landslides there. However, rising temperatures had also improved the local ecosystem, it said.

The scientists urged the government to work to reduce human impact on the region’s fragile environment.
But Beijing is building a series of large hydropower projects there, with construction of several mega-dams expected to start by 2020. China has built thousands of dams in the past few decades in a bid to reduce its reliance on imported fossil fuels.

India, too, is planning a number of hydro plants along the Brahmaputra river – more than 100 proposals are under consideration – as the country strives to boost electricity generation.

Wednesday, May 14, 2014

Doctors believe Twitter can drive you crazy…literally!

I don’t know about you, but I find Twitter to be the most frustrating form of social media. (Perhaps it’s simply because I’m just not pithy enough to limit myself 140 characters.) And on top of that, now we learn that Twitter might actually be bad for your mental health. If you are worried you might be in danger of “Twitter psychosis,” you might want to compare your Twitter activity to that of this patient: “Approximately 1 year before admission, she had started to “twitter” excessively. Sometimes, she would spend several hours a day reading and writing messages, neglecting her social relationships and, sometimes, even meals and regular sleeping hours.” The doctors treating this patient suspect that reading and trying to interpret hundreds of extremely short messages, many from spammers, induced the psychosis she experienced (see below for more details). #tweetatyourownrisk
Image: Flickr/Pete Simon
Twitter psychosis: a rare variation or a distinct syndrome?
“The authors believe that the amount of symbolic language (caused by the limitation of 140 characters per Twitter message), the automated spam responses with seemingly related content, and the general interactive features of Twitter might combine several aspects that could induce or further aggravate psychosis.”
“The authors report the development of psychosis in a young woman coinciding with excessive use of the online communication system Twitter and the results of an experimental account to argue that Twitter may have a high potential to induce psychosis in predisposed users.”
Bonus quote from the full text:
“Unlike, for example, a story reported in the newspapers, which a psychotic patient may relate to, Twitter communication responds to changes in communication style. To test this, a test person created an account and responded to the messages of Ben Goldacre, the maker of the blog http://badscience.net. Our test person responded to a message of Mr. Goldacre about the pope, but Mr. Goldacre did not reply. However, the authors received an answer from an unknown participant, writing “@ Cold blooded RT. XXX: I am in the church:[link].” The link led to different Web pages with commercials.
This message directly addressed the test person (@) with strong, personal words (“cold blooded”) as normally only a friend or close relative would do, and it seemed to link directly to relevant information (the place this seemingly close person was in). However, when the authors followed the link, they were confused about a flood of useless information (commercials). The authors understood that this was a spam message, but this might not be the case for a person who is predisposed to psychosis and, in addition, in a stressful psychosocial situation.
The authors believe that the amount of symbolic language (caused by the limitation of 140 characters per Twitter message), the automated spam responses with seemingly related content, and the general interactive features of Twitter might combine several aspects that could induce or further aggravate psychosis.”

Sunday, May 4, 2014

The Mystery of Extraordinarily Accurate Medieval Maps

One of the most remarkable and mysterious technical advances in the history of the world is written on the hide of a 13th-century calf. Inked into the vellum is a chart of the Mediterranean so accurate that ships today could navigate with it. Most earlier maps that included the region were not intended for navigation and were so imprecise that they are virtually unrecognizable to the modern eye.
With this map, it’s as if some medieval mapmaker flew to the heavens and sketched what he saw — though in reality, he could never have traveled higher than a church tower.
The person who made this document — the first so-called portolan chart, from the Italian word portolano, meaning “a collection of sailing directions” — spawned a new era of mapmaking and oceanic exploration. For the first time, Europeans could accurately visualize their continent in a way that enabled them to improvise new navigational routes instead of simply going from point to point.
That first portolan mapmaker also created an enormous puzzle for historians to come, because he left behind few hints of his method: no rough drafts, no sketches, no descriptions of his work. “Even with all the information he had — every sailor’s notebook, every description in every journal — I wouldn’t know how to make the map he made,” says John Hessler, a specialist in modern cartography at the Library of Congress.
But Hessler has approached the question using a tool that is foreign to most historians: mathematics. By systematically analyzing the discrepancies between the portolan charts and modern ones, Hessler has begun to trace the mapmaker’s tracks within the maps themselves.
Hessler’s path to mathematical cartography began with butterflies. A frustrated chemical engineer and a passionate amateur lepidopterist, he decided in 2000 to take a one-year contract job in the French Alps, studying the evolutionary relationships among the many butterfly species endemic to the region. He learned to use mapping software to track different butterflies’ geographic locations and deployed a technique called morphometrics to assess the relationships between the precise placement of the spots on their wings.
In his analyses, Hessler began by conceptualizing each wing as if it were drawn on a thin metal plate. In a computer simulation, he twisted and bent the plate to move the spots on the wing so they matched those on the wing of a butterfly in another region. He then calculated how much energy it would take to distort the metal into the new shape. The less energy required, the more similar the positions of the spots — and, perhaps, the more closely related the butterflies. 
When his adventure in the Alps ended, Hessler’s newfound mapping expertise landed him a job as a curator at the Library of Congress, where one of his duties was to maintain the vault that holds the institution’s most rare and important maps.
There, for the first time, he saw a portolan chart, a coffee table-size map of the Mediterranean Sea. The rendering, created in 1559, was so accurate that it almost looked modern. The sole of Italy’s boot had its improbable, graceful arch. He could make out each cove around Tunis. Tarifa and Tangier reached toward one another, like teeth, at the Strait of Gibraltar. It was a far cry from earlier Ptolemaic maps (see “Mapping the World,” below), in which Italy’s boot was painfully twisted and the teeth at the Strait of Gibraltar were stretched into flat hammer faces. 
The portolan chart’s inland portions were decidedly less modern, but they showed no shortage of imagination, featuring pictures of Italian dukes and, in Africa, unicorns and elephants illustrating “travelers’ tales.” But Hessler paid little attention to the fanciful characters. “The minute I saw one of the portolans, I was interested in its structure,” Hessler says. “It’s so different from the mathematical structure you see in [modern] maps.” 
The basic mathematical problem every mapmaker confronts is that the Earth is spherical and maps are flat. Imagine flattening a portion of a paper globe: You’ll either have to tear the paper or crinkle it up to squish it down. Many modern maps solve this problem by using so-called Mercator projections, which turn the lines of latitude parallel to the equator and the lines of longitude that converge at the Earth’s poles into a tidy grid of perpendicular lines on a flat plane.
What Hessler saw on the portolan chart was a different solution: a seemingly random pattern of lines showing the 16 directions (north, northeast, east-northeast and so on), spreading out from various locations. It seemed as though this helter-skelter mess of lines served as a kind of skeleton for the map — its “mathematical structure” — just like the tidy grid does for modern maps. 
Fresh from his work using morphometric analyses to compare Alpine butterfly species, Hessler realized that a similar approach might allow him to compare a portolan chart with modern maps — and maybe even shed some light on the mystery of how they were made. Perhaps, he thought, he would find uniform distortions that would give a hint about how the portolan mapmakers approached their art.
Mysterious Method
To begin, Hessler studied the charts’ history. Before the first portolan charts were drawn in the 13th century, Mediterranean sailors had no reliable drawings to guide them; instead, they relied on compass measurements combined with experience and lore to navigate the sea. Their sailing records consisted of nothing more than lists of ports in the order that ships would encounter them, along with annotations including estimated directions, sailing times between ports and perhaps some sketches of geographic contours visible from afar, such as headlands projecting into the sea.
Hessler pictured the first portolan mapmaker at work, methodically working out some way to improve ships’ odds of making it safely from port to port. He suspected the mapmaker began with one sailor’s notes and sketches from a single voyage, starting at a single port — say, Naples. Then, perhaps, he drew a line to the next port, using the recorded sailing direction and time as his guide. He would have traced the journey to the next port, and then the next, making a circuit of the Mediterranean until his pen brought him back to Naples.
But the mapmaker would have run into a problem: The vagaries of wind, sea and imperfect records inevitably threw off the measurements, so that upon completing his vicarious journey, the mapmaker wouldn’t land exactly on his starting spot. So he would have had to nudge his ports around to spread out the error. If he did the same thing again using a different set of sailing records, he would end up with ports in slightly different locations, and he would need to tweak the results again. No two of his charts would be exactly the same, and none would be quite right. The mystery is how he managed to reconcile all this contradictory, incomplete information into one brilliantly precise chart of the Mediterranean that allowed mariners to visualize, for the first time, the sea on which they’d spent their lives sailing. 

Sunday, February 16, 2014

Markets For Good ebook

Markets for Good, an organization focused on performing data science for the social sector, recently released an ebook highlighting their 17 most influential blog posts. The ebook is titled, Markets for Good Selected Readings: Making Sense of Data and Information in the Social Sector.
Here is just a small sampling of the topics you can read about:
  • 3 Reasons Why Open Data Will Change the World
  • Let Our Data Define Us
  • Put Your Data Where Your Mouth Is
If you are interested in how data can be used to help the world, this ebook is a good place to start.

Tuesday, November 19, 2013

What Happens If Curiosity Finds Liquid Water on Mars? What Happens If It Doesn’t?

The universe will simultaneously implode and explode, a thing that only kittens can survive; consequently, kittens will rule the cosmos (or at least what’s left of it). Kidding.
Nothing fascinates the imagination quite like the search for extraterrestrial life, even if that life is on the smallish side. It is this fascination that governed the creation of NASA’s Curiosity rover.
The primary goal of this mission is to determine whether or not Earth is the only planet in our solar system that is capable (or ever was capable) of sustaining life. We’re not really expecting to find any woolly beasts rambling across the Martian surface, just hoping to find evidence of habitable conditions for microscopic organisms. In an attempt to find such evidence, the rover was sent to Mars to study geological formations and the Martian atmosphere.
Of course, water is an integral part of habitable conditions. And shortly after landing on the planetary surface, Curiosity found evidence of water—more than that, it found evidence of a flowing stream. But the rover has an operating lifespan of a full Martian year (687 Earth days), so what will Curiosity do for the rest of its mission?
It will continue searching for evidence of water and other conditions conducive to life. The Mars Hand Lens Imager is able to take close-up pictures of rocks and soil. Ultimately, it can reveal details smaller than the width of a human hair. The rover also has a number of instruments that are capable of identifying a wide range of organic (carbon-containing) compounds, and determining the compositions of various Martian rocks.
But what if Curiosity actually finds water on Mars, as opposed to just evidence of it? Since the rover’s drill bits may be tainted with microbes from Earth, and these microbes could survive upon touching Martian water, we might have a problem. The drill bits were sterilized inside a box six months before launch; however, engineers grew concerned that a rough landing could damage the drill mechanism, so they decided to open the box and mount one bit in the drill. Opening the box required the consent of the NASA scientist responsible for guarding Mars against contamination, but Planetary Protection Officer Catharine Conley wasn’t consulted.
Which means that the rover will not be allowed to come into contact with any water it discovers.
John D. Rummel, a professor of biology at East Carolina University and a former NASA Planetary Protection Officer, stated: “It will be a sad day for NASA if they do detect ice or water. That’s because the Curiosity project will most likely be told, ‘Gee, that’s nice. Now turn around.’”
And the search for habitable conditions will continue elsewhere. Ultimately, the information that is gathered during this mission will be used to (among other things) help plan manned missions to Mars.

Thursday, October 3, 2013

Mars Curiosity Rover

The Mars rover Curiosity is a huge leap forward from previous rover technology; this sophisticated device was created by NASA and was launched on the 26th November 2011. After its560-million-kilometer (350-million-mile) journey from Earth, the rover managed to perform some extremely complicated preprogrammed maneuvers in order to successfully land on Mars. This rover is an extremely expensive piece of technology, costing NASA some 2.5 billion dollars. This is the highest amount of money NASA has ever spent on a rover.
Curiosity’s landing in Gale Crater was called the 7 minutes of terror, because NASA would not know for 7 minutes if the landing was successful. (The signal takes 7 to 14 minutes to travel from Mars back to NASA.) NASA chose Gale Crater for a number of reasons, one of them being that it was a big and safe crater for landing.
The rover has a weight of approximately 900 kilograms (1,900 pounds).
The process of landing was as follows:
  1.  Cruise stage: Curiosity approached the planet and made the final important calculations for a successful landing.
  2. Cruise separation: Ten minutes before entering the Martian atmosphere, the cruise phase separated from the MSL and eventually burned up in the atmosphere.
  3. Guided entry: Small rockets on the MSL craft fired to control its descent.
  4. Peak heating: About eighty seconds after entering the atmosphere, the heat shield protected the MSL as it hit terminal velocity through the thickening Martian atmosphere. Temperatures reached 3,800 °F (2,100 °C).
  5. Heat shield separation: Roughly 5 miles above the surface, the heat shield separated from the MSL.
  6. Radar data collection: The MSL fired radar at the crater surface to determine the most suitable landing site in a predetermined zone.
  7. Back shell separation: The back shell (with the parachute still attached) separated less than 2 kilometers (0.6 miles) from the surface.
  8. The Sky crane lowered the rover using 3 thick metal wires.
  9. Touchdown, which was obviously successful.
Overall, this rover is the most sophisticated piece of technology NASA has ever sent to Mars.

Why Is the Sky Blue?

We should begin with the Sun itself, a big hydrogen-fusing ball of plasma with a surface temperature of about 5,780 K (5,507°C or 9,944°F). At this temperature, the Sun radiates strongest in the green part of the spectrum. 
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It is at this point that we can come to understand a little more about the light that the Sun is producing: It peaks in the green part of the spectrum, but a very broad range of electromagnetic radiation (light) is being given off. The Sun gives off light in a variety of forms, from X-rays and UV radiation (which causes sunburn), all the way through to radio waves. When the electromagnetic radiation eventually hits the Earth, just about the only part that doesn’t reach the surface is the X-rays, as they’re blocked by the atmosphere.
Now we’ve established that the Sun really is green, but this doesn’t really explain why the sky is blue. Or does it?
We started off at the Sun, and the next step along this little journey is the Earth’s atmosphere, where all the excitement happens.
When light enter the atmosphere, it has to pass through all the molecules it encounters. The more energetic part of the spectrum (blue) is scattered more than the less energetic (red), meaning that the less energetic light is able to pass through relatively unscathed. When the blue light is scattered it is scattered in all directions, causing the entire sky to be blue.
You might now be asking why the sky isn’t violet. We can see violet, so it is not at all unreasonable to ask this. The reason is actually somewhat related to the way that we see the Sun as being yellow as opposed to being green. Violet is the wavelength of light that is scattered the most because it is more energetic than the blue light. Our eyes, however, distinguish colour by “seeing” in three colours: red, green, and blue. This means that, to be able to see violet, we have to mix two colours together: red and blue. Since red light isn’t scattered much, there isn’t enough red for our eyes to process. This is why we don’t see the violet sky.